I agree that the baselines…
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I agree that the baselines are rapidly changing for certain regions and climatic variables ... very good observation. As you pointed out this is not a "one size fits all" solution and really works for the tropical Pacific b/c of unique atmospheric dynamics specific to the region. I know this is a discussion that many user communities are having: NIDIS-- drought assessment and also Probable Maximum Precipitation (some links provided). This will continue to be a hot topic! [ pun intended ;-) ]