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The Weather Noise forcing from March-October compared against Niño-3.4 sea surface temperature (SST) during the following November-January. The weather noise forcing is an important part of El Niño events, but it is not that important of a component for any other year. The weather noise is calculated from GODAS zonal wind stress using the formula for τR from Levine and Jin 2017. Figure provided by Aaron Levine and modified by Climate.gov.